Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.384244 2.855075 3.369665 3.970714 4.650265 5.391570 6.258113
2026-02-08 1.634390 2.222182 2.924714 3.813623 4.895094 6.154852 7.719100
2026-02-15 1.162034 1.792214 2.613108 3.730670 5.180385 6.964800 9.291739
2026-02-22 0.912003 1.581655 2.524454 3.891644 5.762050 8.168324 11.428269
2026-03-01 0.682083 1.339141 2.340973 3.886807 6.111056 9.091503 13.270374
2026-03-08 0.466069 1.055538 2.037709 3.656740 6.110261 9.534425 14.499112
2026-03-15 0.324470 0.851823 1.811694 3.496693 6.174786 10.050860 15.838197
2026-03-22 0.269811 0.794848 1.816360 3.693262 6.778189 11.356481 18.329687
2026-03-29 0.237393 0.774013 1.879311 3.988537 7.551112 12.945296 21.291263
2026-04-05 0.203015 0.736950 1.903213 4.214803 8.225100 14.416156 24.140293
2026-04-12 0.157320 0.653867 1.819042 4.234551 8.557208 15.379986 26.280035
2026-04-19 0.111574 0.548274 1.664058 4.099327 8.611254 15.908410 27.783525
2026-04-26 0.078133 0.461754 1.533632 3.997996 8.722659 16.546239 29.504713
2026-05-03 0.053859 0.389218 1.417054 3.905644 8.837606 17.190167 31.256705
2026-05-10 0.037586 0.334374 1.330005 3.860811 9.031469 17.968012 33.243268
2026-05-17 0.031147 0.320266 1.350087 4.051093 9.676622 19.523366 36.509828
2026-05-24 0.022223 0.283073 1.293964 4.061401 9.976264 20.505464 38.890886
2026-05-31 0.012369 0.222426 1.145462 3.832344 9.786504 20.634702 39.893077
2026-06-07 0.006825 0.178776 1.033970 3.671685 9.714157 20.956485 41.211420
2026-06-14 0.005631 0.175443 1.065885 3.878995 10.410920 22.666899 44.878763
2026-06-21 0.005208 0.181150 1.133915 4.187573 11.335291 24.813881 49.326728
2026-06-28 0.004389 0.179671 1.173434 4.423706 12.117595 26.727293 53.425828
2026-07-05 0.002821 0.160506 1.135277 4.445029 12.441922 27.819262 56.166145